According to our European survey conducted by the IFOP-fiducial for Paris match, CNews and Sud radio, the cumulation of voting intentions in favor of the national rally, of about France, of the Patriots and of the Republican people's Union exceeds 30%.
Almost one in three voters would have the intention of voting for a right-wing list or a sovereignist list in the forthcoming European elections. According to the poll on European elections conducted by the IFOP-fiducial for Paris match, CNews and Sud radio, the cumulation of voting intentions for the national rally (22.5%, + 0.5), debout France (4.5%,-0.5), Les Patriotes (3%, + 0.5) and the Union popular Republican (1%, =) reached 31%. These forces are not all directly comparable-the UPR of François Asselineau had not called to vote for Marine Le Pen in the second round of the presidential of 2017, unlike Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, the head of the list of debout France-but they all bear a vehement rejection of the European Union. Two of them-the Patriots of Florian Philippot and the UPR-even claim a "Frexit", which is the exit of France from the EU. The list of Philippot also reaches for the first time this Monday the score of 3%, a threshold beyond which the lists can get reimbursement of their campaign expenses.
This very high level of extreme right lists or sovereignists is obviously supported by the very high score of the national rally, which fights first place on the list of the Republic on the March (22.5%,-0.5). If the presidential majority, led by Nathalie Loiseau on 26 May, had a rebound last week, it does not continue on Monday. Again, RN and LREM make equal play. Never since the beginning of our investigation on March 7, the two lists were separated by a point deviation above the margin of error.
The duel between LREM and RN is tight, and the other political formations still do not seem to be able to disturb him. The Republicans ' list, led by François-Xavier Bellamy, capped at 14% (=). A notch below, the list of France insubmissive, led by Manon Aubry (8%, + 0.5), ahead of little that of Europe ecology-the Greens, at the head of which figure Yannick Jadot (7.5%,-0.5). Between these two lists, the curves crossed nine times since March 7, a sign of the great uncertainty about their order of arrival.
25% of respondents anticipate the RN's victory
The national rally does not seem to suffer from the very broad electoral offer including to the right of the ideological spectrum. On Monday, 25% of the respondents claimed to expect the victory of the far-right party, the same score as for the presidential majority list.
For the first time, the FIFG has tested this Monday the 34th list validated for the European poll. While half of the registered lists score less than 0.5% of the votes, the new arrival, entitled "a Europe for the service of peoples" and led by Nagib Azergui for the Union of French Muslim Democrats, obtains 0.5% of the voting intentions.
Each day, the results for all the lists submitted are detailed in the FIFG report. Click to view the one on Monday, May 13th.
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